Indonesia: Tin Foil hat Time?

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Indonesia: Tin Foil hat Time?

Post  cottontop on Thu Aug 07, 2008 12:41 pm

I posted this on my blog yesterday in response to a fellow flubie who wanted to know if this was "IT." I felt that his question deserved a whole post, as there are people who are wondering that same thing.

(cottontop puts her tin foil hat on, takes a drink of her favorite beverage, and sights)

So we all want to know what is going on in Indonesia. Iíve had a fellow flubie ask me in his comment if I think this is ďIT?Ē

The first thing I want to say to everyone is stay calm. We have too. I know it isnít easy to do that. If you want to make a prep run in order to settle yourself down, than by all means do so. Sometimes that helps me.

O.K. we first need to know what little facts we have here:

1. a nurse tipped off a reporter.

2. chickens die

3. pidgeons die

4. three people die

5. 13 people are admitted to hospital

6. 2 of the13 are transfered to another hospital (the critical cases)

7. villagers start to flee, getting their children to a safe place

8. Air Batu villagers, Kecamatan Air Batu Kabupaten Asahan fled because they were worried they world be attacked by the bird flu, it they worried it was spreading in the village.

9. Two weeks before three residents in the village died from serious fever.

10. Gradually even more of the villagers were sick.

This is a description of a gradually spreading illness, one which has caused death already so the people are fleeing. The only surprising thing is that the child in critical condition has apparently been ill for one week.

11. Not all the villagers had contact with the poultry.

So this is where weíre at. Something is unfolding there, I donít think this is ďITĒ at the present moment. It certainly makes things that more interesting being the Olympics start Friday. This situation is so serious that villagers are fleeing in fear. Now this is unusual in a village where chickens have died, at least that we know of. I believe itís happened once or twice before since Iíve starting tracking this virus going on two years. We have seen this before.

Iím being very cautious. This is the largest possible cluster of H5N1 yet. Perhaps, just perhaps, weíll get the results of these tests after the pandemic!

This might be overwhelming for some of you, especially if your new to tracking this virus. There is going to be many emotional rollercoasters that youíll going to be on. Heaven knows Iíve been there to many times. This is a very tense news development, and we must not get carried away. Iím willing to bet that we will not here much after today. I hope Iím wrong. If you are feeling ďcarried awayĒ by this news, take a break and spend sometime with your family, go for a walk, make a prep run, read a book, whatever it is that you do to relax. You donít want to burnout. We canít do anything about this, even if it is ďIT.Ē We can only lay in our preps, and watch. Thatís it. So donít get too worked up about this at the moment.

One last thought here: this is a good time to review your preps, your SIP plan if you have one, if you donít you should think about one. Doing something constructive like this always helps my anxiety. I suddenly donít feel so helpless, when Iíve done some pandemic planning. Hang in there!
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August 9, 2008

Post  cottontop on Sat Aug 09, 2008 8:40 am

For updates concerning this situation, please go to the Pandemic Flu Central Blog:
http://cottontopssandbox.wordpress.com/
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